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MDFINFAN
09-17-2008, 12:26 PM
Obama leads McCain among likely voters by 47 percent to 45 percent, within the poll's 3.1 percent margin of error. He gained ground in the last month among independent and women voters and on the question of who could best manage the faltering U.S. economy.

http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSN1642854220080917

no real comments from me on this, because as we know these polls change constantly...but just letting you know apparently Palin's effect is starting to stablize.... and now we're seeing the real bounces of the conventions.. this poll is before the recent economy news..


btw, someone yesterday said NY was in play....
New York: Obama Still Way Ahead 55% to 42%


The race for New York is the closest it’s been in six months, but Barack Obama still leads John McCain by 13 points, 55% to 42%, in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election

I don't think that's in play..

phinfan3411
09-17-2008, 12:39 PM
I think polls do give a good look into the future, but electoral vote map polls not national polls.

the source I had for NY was the one I gave you, which is:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

A week or so ago it had not been updated, it then was updated yesterday with a Siena College september 10th poll, today it brought the rasmussen in with it. The state is considered weak democrat today. Would I bet on McCain winning it? No, but there is a better chance than there has been in the past.

FinFatale
09-17-2008, 12:41 PM
Wednesday, September 17, 2008
http://www.finheaven.com/clear.gif Email to a Friend (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/content/tipafriend/4547)



The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday is unchanged with John McCain (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll#) attracting 48% of the vote while Barack Obama earns 47% (see recent daily results (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/general_election_match_up_history)). Both men are viewed favorably by 55% of the nation’s voters (see trends (http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/favorable_ratings_for_presidential_candidates)). Results are released every day at 9:30 a.m. Eastern and a FREE daily e-mail update (http://visitor.constantcontact.com/email.jsp?m=1102135387545&p=oi%5D)is available.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll


I guess it depends on what poll you go to read.

MDFINFAN
09-17-2008, 12:45 PM
Wednesday, September 17, 2008
http://www.finheaven.com/clear.gif Email to a Friend (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/content/tipafriend/4547)



The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday is unchanged with John McCain (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll#) attracting 48% of the vote while Barack Obama earns 47% (see recent daily results (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/general_election_match_up_history)). Both men are viewed favorably by 55% of the nation’s voters (see trends (http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/favorable_ratings_for_presidential_candidates)). Results are released every day at 9:30 a.m. Eastern and a FREE daily e-mail update (http://visitor.constantcontact.com/email.jsp?m=1102135387545&p=oi%5D)is available.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll


I guess it depends on what poll you go to read.

Yea, CNN polls of polls has it 47 to 47...

phinfan3411
09-17-2008, 12:47 PM
It will come down to the map, about 6-7 states, I promise you.

MDFINFAN
09-17-2008, 12:56 PM
It will come down to the map, about 6-7 states, I promise you.

Agreed.


McCain now leads in states with 200 Electoral College votes while Obama is ahead in states with 193 Electoral College votes. When “leaners” are included, it’s Obama 259, McCain 247.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_electoral_college_update