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View Full Version : Meet the New Map--Same as the Old Map (Almost)



Dolphan7
09-19-2008, 03:51 PM
http://news.yahoo.com/s/realclearpolitics/20080919/cm_rcp/meet_the_new_mapsame_as_the_ol;_ylt=AoZITtkh6n8ooOXDA6KHXYCs0NUE

Let's talk Electoral Map!


In early summer, the Crystal Ball took its first look at the likely November 4th Electoral College map. Our assessment was that, in the College at least, the contest appeared close. John McCain had 174 solid or likely electoral votes to Barack Obama's 200 solid or likely. The lead switched once we added in states that were "leaning" to one or the other: McCain had 227 votes to Obama's 212, with 270 needed for election. Fully 99 electoral votes in eight other states (CO, MI, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, and WI) remained in the toss-up category.
We based our map not just on current polling but also the recent historical record in presidential elections. To some degree, this explained the differences between our map and those of some other analysts. As we revise it in this essay, we will once again add a dose of history to current trends, and at least tentatively, we will attempt to narrow the number of toss-ups.

MDFINFAN
09-19-2008, 04:08 PM
http://news.yahoo.com/s/realclearpolitics/20080919/cm_rcp/meet_the_new_mapsame_as_the_ol;_ylt=AoZITtkh6n8ooOXDA6KHXYCs0NUE

Let's talk Electoral Map!

Wow, that's totally different that this one..

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/06/10/electoral.map/index.html

Or this one:


Electoral College votes. When “leaners” are included, it’s Obama 259, McCain 247.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_electoral_college_update

Dolphan7
09-19-2008, 04:18 PM
They are all different MD. That is what makes this so fun!