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View Full Version : Opinion: I am projecting a 7th round compensatory pick for Miami



Nublar7
01-10-2010, 07:09 PM
I don't have 100% concrete information, this is more of an opinion and a guess.

For those who don't know what a compensatory pick is, every year the NFL awards teams who have lost more unrestricted free agents then they signed the previous offseason. There are 32 of these picks each year and they are awarded at the end of each round from rounds 3 through round 7.

There is a scientific formula that the NFL uses, but it has never been officially released to the public. There is a guy from the KFFL forums named AdamJT13 that projects the compensatory picks each year and he is usually very close to be right most of the time. He doesn't usually project though until the beginning of March.

Things to keep in mind that the formula does not always accept ALL free agents, some league minimum salaries do not qualify. Also, the formula takes in average annual salary, playing time and postseason honors. A player must be a TRUE unrestricted free agent and they do not qualify if they are restricted, were traded for or cut by their previous teams. Also, they must make the team's final 53 man roster. While the formula is based on losing a greater value then received, a team that loses the same amount of players then it signed also can qualify. A team like that may receive a "net value" pick and that would be awarded at the end of the 7th round.

So where do the Dolphins stand, officially they signed two unrestricted free agents and lost two. Wilson, Taylor do not qualify because they were cut by their previous teams. Eric Green does not count because he was released prior to the start of the season and guys like Cameron Wake don't count because they did not come from an NFL team. They officially only signed Joe Berger and Jake Grove.

Who did they lose? Officially they only lost André Goodman and Renaldo Hill. Al Johnson, who signed with the Patriots, does not count because he was cut before the start of the season.

So, as you can see, Miami qualifies for a "net value" pick. But it does not end there, the players they lost have to have an annual salary greater then the ones they signed and had to have had more playing time. So take a look:

Signed:

Joe Berger - $725,000 average salary: 16 GP/6 GS
Jake Grove - $5,900,000 average salary: 12 GP/10 GS

Lost:

André Goodman - $5,004,000 average salary: 16 GP/16 GS
Renaldo Hill - $2,500,000 average salary: 15 GP/ 15 GS

Berger and Grove average roughly an average annual salary of $6.625 million. Goodman and Hill average roughly an average annual salary of $7.504. Miami clears that hurdle.

As for game played and games started. Things go in Miami's favor again at 28/16 to 31/31.

I project Miami will receive a "net value" compensatory pick at the end of round 7. Now, again, I might be wrong, I am just basing this on how I view the situation.

Clipse
01-10-2010, 08:23 PM
Very nice work Nublar. That sounds about right to me.

Csonka39
01-11-2010, 08:45 AM
im hopeing for a 3th or 4th but will not settel for anything elce we have been screwed over the years because we dident play the game. when we lost some one we had to go get some out there and pay them alot of money in most cases they dident work out, and because we got some one in free agency, presto no draft pick
this year that dident happen, we used the rooks so nfl give it up!

moley6969
01-11-2010, 08:53 AM
good work on the post!!!!,cleared up some points for me

skipp2myloo13
01-11-2010, 02:40 PM
im hopeing for a 3th or 4th but will not settel for anything elce we have been screwed over the years because we dident play the game. when we lost some one we had to go get some out there and pay them alot of money in most cases they dident work out, and because we got some one in free agency, presto no draft pick
this year that dident happen, we used the rooks so nfl give it up!

Is this American English?

Crypt Keeper
03-25-2010, 04:20 PM
Good call Nubs. You got it right.

ColonelJ
03-25-2010, 04:24 PM
Money shot $$$$$

JT-forpresident
03-25-2010, 04:56 PM
Is this American English?

he's joe R 's cousin !