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    • Hayden Fox's Assessment Week 16

      Positives

      * The punt coverage units were excellent today. Starting with Brandon Fields the punt team handled the tough weather and kept the Bills pinned back deep.
      * Nolan Carroll's INT
      * Nolan Carroll's CB Blitz for a sack of QB Thad Lewis
      * Red Zone defense. The Bills were 1-4. At the end of the day, the defense did only give up one TD.
      * 3rd down defense. The defense held the Bills to 7 of 19.
      * The staff subbing Nate Garner for Sam Brenner. Brenner was getting manhandled. The change needed to happen.
      * Charles Clay's effort on an attempted catch (overruled on review) was good to see. He did not give up and played hard to the bitter end.
      * Joe Philbin had good clock management at the end of the half. He used his timeouts and the defense forced RB C.J. Spiller out of bounds killing the clock. It forced a punt another offensive try.

      Negatives

      * The team was flat. No emotion. Poor body language all game.
      * The Dolphins were shutout.
      * Minus 1 Turnover Differential
      * Total yards: 109 for Miami and 390 for the Buffalo
      * TOP: Miami's 23:29 to 36:21 for Buffalo
      * No big plays. The Fins need to get explosive plays some place and none of that happened today.
      * 3rd down offense: 2-14
      * Ryan Tannehill struggled. 10-27, 0 TD's and 0 Int
      * 7 Sacks given up. The line was at fault. The RB's blitz pickups were terrible. Daniel Thomas was indecisive along with typically ineffective. The line was abused throughout the game.
      * Brian Hartline dropped three passes.
      * The run game was ineffective. At the same time, against a bad run defense, they attempted only 12 runs (for 14 yards). This game was still close going well into the 4th quarter. The Fins had some negative runs, but at the same time the coaching staff never gave the run game a chance on day it was needed.
      * Lamar Miller was buried on the depth chart. Not sure why. The answer will be his pass pro skills, but DT was lousy in that role today. Miller has had success versus the Bills in his first two years of his young career.
      * RT has to keep the ball on the read option. There were plays to be made. Instead of tucking the ball and handed it off for little to no gain too many times.
      * Matt Moore had two bad picks. One was well behind the receiver after he connected deep to Hartline. The other he emerged from a scrum and heaved it deep to nobody.
      * No points off of the Carroll interception.
      * Penalties: 6 penalties for 37 yards.
      * Rush defense. They gave up 203 yards on 51 carries.
      * The defense had terrible understanding what the Bills wanted to do on offense. They were going run the ball or toss it deep on early downs. If they were off schedule, they would run a screen or draw.
      * Phillip Wheeler's hands to the face penalty was a killer. The defense had a stop deep in the Bills' territory and looked like they were going to force a punt. However, Wheeler's undisciplined penalty kept a drive alive for the Bills.
      * Nolan Carroll beaten by Robert Woods for 50 plus yards.
      * The defense got torched by Buffalo's TE's.
      * Philip Wheeler was a liability in coverage.
      * Missed opportunities for turnovers. Leodis McKelvin put the ball on the carpet off of a punt, but the Bills recovered. C.J. Spiller fumbled in the 4th, but two Bills jumped on the ball before any Dolphin made a bid on the ball.
      * The Dolphins were out-coached in all phases. They had no adjustments to the Bills' blitzing schemes. They had no change of pace ideas to make the Bills blitz looks slow down. Defensively, they needed to own the LOS and force Thad Lewis in known passing situations...it did not happen.
      * Joe Philbin had a bad challenge on a sideline play, that at best, would have been worth 15 yards. The replay was not conclusive.
      * While the Dolphins had too many undisciplined moments, the officiating was bad today. Gilmore should have been flagged for flinging Hartline to the ground after an incompletion. A flag was thrown, but the ref that tossed the flag was talked out of it. Mario Williams was holding Bryant McKinnie yet McKinnie made a bid for the outside blitzer. McKinnie ended up getting the flag for trying to protect his QB. Terrible miss by the refs. Charles Clay caught that ball and it did not hit the ground. There was certainly not any obvious evidence that it did hit the ground. It never should have been overturned. Cam Wake was held on a run in the 4th to set up a Bills clinching FG. The Dolphins did nothing to help themselves in this game and did not lose because of the refs, but they were not aided by them either.

      Overall Assessment

      * The weather did play a role in hurting the Dolphins today. It was an issue debated all week and those that were concerned with the task of going to Buffalo in December were vindicated.
      * Another place of concern was the amount of emotion and energy used in the win versus New England. The Dolphins had no life today and were able to continue the success from previous weeks.
      * Bills DC Mike Pettine owned Joe Philbin, Mike Sherman and Ryan Tannehill twice this year.
      * How does a 5-9 team without its starting QB, best WR, its second best WR ejected and its starting SS out, beat you 19-0? The answer is the Bills wanted it more. The Bills were also coached better and they had match ups to exploit versus the Dolphins. The Dolphins had no answers how to use their own strengths against the opponent and no ideas to circumvent the strengths of the Bills.
      * Specifically, in terms of the pass rush of Buffalo, where were the screens? Where was the maximum protections and shots deep? Where was the quick hot reads in the vacancy of the blitzing slot CB? Where was the bootleg to move the pocket? The coaching staff had no in game answer to something their team was deficient in. Very concerning.
      * Why run the read option if the QB never runs the ball? He had chances to make yards today, but RT never kept the ball.
      * It was concerning that the Dolphins defense seemed not to know the Bills offensive tendencies.
      * What a terrible broadcast. Spero Dedes, Steve Beuerlein and the F crew had an awful day. They got names wrong. The camera crew had the facial shots going of players and coaches while measurements were happening or players were injured. Beuerlein inexplicably said the Fins should allow the Bills to score a TD midway through the 4th to "keep it a two score game" (the TD would have made it 17 to 0). He somehow thought Woods should not have been ejected after throwing a close line punch to Reshad Jones. Dedes said the Bills had a great fan base yet were one of two teams with a blackout this year. Just simply a terrible broadcast.
      * The Buffalo Bills got their typical December win in bad weather in which their fans can be happy. Yet they are under .500 again for yet another year.
      * Four new offensive linemen are needed next year. Mike Pouncey should stay. However, both tackles should not be re-signed. The team should move on from John Jerry. Sam Brenner can be developed, but he could help best by being a depth player. Nate Garner can again be a "super sub". Two free agent linemen must be added along with two draft picks from May's draft.
      * The team most become more physical. In order to win in Buffalo, New York and New England in December, the Dolphins have to be the more physical team up front. They need to "punch the opponent in the mouth". Since Joe Philbin has taken over the run defense has not been as good, falling from the top of the league to the bottom ten. The offensive line has become more "finesse" as well. The "blue collar" approach like that of Seattle, San Francisco and Baltimore should be used as the template of future Dolphins teams.
      * Phillip Wheeler is a major liability that needs to be replaced next season. He has not been an upgrade over Kevin Burnett. Jelani Jenkins could be his replacement. It is a matter of when.
      * While not popular, going 9-7 this year is progress. I thought the team was a 9-7 or 10-6 team this year. I wanted progress not playoffs necessarily. A win next week is obviously important to the playoff aspirations of the team, but it is also vital to the progress of the team going into next year. Demand progress for this team. Next week will tell us a lot about this team in many ways.
      * With all this being said, the Miami Dolphins are still in this. With a Chargers win and Patriots win, EVERYTHING is still in front of the Dolphins. The Chiefs have little to play for next week, helping San Diego. The Ravens will have to play well to beat the Bengals. I do not see Marvin Lewis pulling back as his team needs to play well going into the tournament after getting bounced in the first round the past few years. That leads us to Miami. They have a home game with a rival. They have a bad taste in their mouths from a putrid performance from today. Miami can very well make the playoffs after all is said and done.
      This article was originally published in forum thread: Hayden Fox's Assessment Week 16 started by Hayden Fox View original post
      Comments 40 Comments
      1. Delsolar16's Avatar
        Delsolar16 -
        Anybody know why Hartline wasn't wearing gloves the 1st half when he dropped his 1st pass and then lazily reached out for the pass on the very next play?
      1. slk018's Avatar
        slk018 -
        But tannehill has won every qb battle relax!! He is Marino but better... He sees that blitz coming and stares at it like a deer in head lights!! We have our qb! The patriots time is over!!
      1. Dick Pepperwood's Avatar
        Dick Pepperwood -
        "The team was flat. No emotion. Poor body language all game."

        Hayden, exactly dude. This game was over at the Half. So much to play for, yet somehow outcoached and outplayed by a Bad Bills Team, twice.
      1. DKphin's Avatar
        DKphin -
        Quote Originally Posted by Hayden Fox View Post
        I am not sure how confident I am that the staff can put a good a decent game plan together plus how mentally tough the team is to overcome this loss.
        I am not a fire everyone and start over kinda guy, but when a team comes into a game with everything on the line and performs the way it did-you have to start questioning the coaching staff. This team was totally unprepared after playing in what was the most meaningful game since 2008. That has to be on the coaching staff. Sherman definitely has to go. Turner's OL was terrible and this is not the first time. Philbin has to be accountable for the hires. You can say the players play, but the coaching staff does nothing to counter what is going on on the field.
      1. Atila's Avatar
        Atila -
        Philbin's in game management, adjustments, and just overall game-day performance has been the literal definition of mediocre.

        I am not sold on him just because he is a "good guy". He has disappointed this season.
      1. crashfan's Avatar
        crashfan -
        Quote Originally Posted by DKphin View Post
        I am not a fire everyone and start over kinda guy, but when a team comes into a game with everything on the line and performs the way it did-you have to start questioning the coaching staff. This team was totally unprepared after playing in what was the most meaningful game since 2008. That has to be on the coaching staff. Sherman definitely has to go. Turner's OL was terrible and this is not the first time. Philbin has to be accountable for the hires. You can say the players play, but the coaching staff does nothing to counter what is going on on the field.
        I agree in the original post 4 of the 5 offensive lineman need to be replaced. But to DKphins credit some of the underling coaches need to be replaced also. They should have been in these guys earholes the entire time they were on the sidelines. No emotion or fire today. They were wet, cold, and wanted the game to be over from the start.
      1. Southbeach 2's Avatar
        Southbeach 2 -
        This was the worst performance by a Miami team in recent memory, including the 60 point playoff deal but, not the expansion team. You just have to forget it, and move on.
      1. MadDog 88's Avatar
        MadDog 88 -
        It's hard not to point the finger at the coaching staff and they do share in the blame but, the players failed to execute it's as simple as that. The QB, OL, RBs, scheme, everything on the offensive side of the ball was pathetic. This crap about professional athletes needing a coaching staff to motivate them is bull****. They got their asses kicked by a bad team for the second time this year.

        I hope they shake off wherever they were mentally today because that's not a bad Jets team coming to Miami in week 17. I expect the Jets to play a flawless game to try and save Rex Ryan's job. Sherman needs to come up with a game plan to expose the Jets secondary and Tannehill needs to step up and lead the offense otherwise, it's going to be a long off season.
      1. LANGER72's Avatar
        LANGER72 -
        The "blue collar" linemen are the corn fed variety. You do not play smash mouth with Finesse lineman like Pouncey and Brenner. I refer the smash mouth players. they win in cold weather games.
        The team needs to make up its dam mind and get the players. If better planning happened in the offseason, the Fins would be fighting for the division title. Instead we are flopping around in Buffalo in what should have been an easy win.
      1. pags77's Avatar
        pags77 -
        Thought we were awful from top to bottom today.
        Defense got beat up on the line, and didn't dominate against a crap QB with a set of second and third string receivers. They did well in the red zone but couldn't get off the field when needed.
        Offensive line was exposed again, disgusting was how I would describe it. RBs are awful at pass protection. They are very unproductive in too many games. Hartline dropped too many balls.
        Special teams were blah. Punt coverage had 2 muffed punts and no recoveries, to me that ain't good.
        Coaching is terrible. How they are so clueless against a division rival is mind boggling to me.
        This was worse than the Tampa game. Worst game of the year at the most important time, the team failed itself and I am embarrassed by their performance today.
      1. royalshank's Avatar
        royalshank -
        Quote Originally Posted by LANGER72 View Post
        The "blue collar" linemen are the corn fed variety. You do not play smash mouth with Finesse lineman like Pouncey and Brenner. I refer the smash mouth players. they win in cold weather games.
        The team needs to make up its dam mind and get the players. If better planning happened in the offseason, the Fins would be fighting for the division title. Instead we are flopping around in Buffalo in what should have been an easy win.
        Weren't a lot of people all excited about going to the ZBS and the finesse linemen like Jon Martin that you need to run it? I think philbin and Ireland have decided that they want finesse linemen - if this is the direction then we better get some good ones cause the group we have is awful. Langer, Little, Keuchenberg, Evans and Moore must just shake their heads in disgust at the line play on days like today.

        ---------- Post added at 11:10 PM ---------- Previous post was at 11:08 PM ----------

        Hayden - I give you credit for finding the will to write up a recap after this stinker. One other positive was the bomb to Hartline. It was half of our offensive production.
      1. j-off-her-doll's Avatar
        j-off-her-doll -
        Brian Hartline killed our early drives. If I were to blame the loss on one person (and there's plenty to go around), I'd blame Hartline. If he makes those catches, it's a completely different game.
      1. Travis34's Avatar
        Travis34 -
        Great writeup Hayden. Very well put in all facets. I agree very much so on the O-line point. and imo we need to look to get a stud MLB (maybe not possible in the draft due to the need for OL) and move Ellerbe to Wheeler's spot.

        The thing that baffles me so much is that we seemingly never saw the screen coming. It's the Bills' goddamn bread and butter and we were apparently amazed by it everytime. The same thing happened in the first game! Good hustle by Soliai on one play though to try his damndest to run down Spiller and it looked like he got him tripped up before Grimes or someone got there
      1. dabeastdabone's Avatar
        dabeastdabone -
        I have to believe at this point if the Dolphins make the playoffs at one point they will work Ryan running into the game. The success of Wilson, Luck, and RG3 have been highly due to their ability to run while in Miami we seem to avoid the QB running at all costs. Our staff can't be totally blind to that and unveiling it in the playoffs would be a nice surprise.
      1. FishTank's Avatar
        FishTank -
        It's hard to even suggest forgetting yesterday's performance. The last time I saw anything remotely resembling yesterday was under Jimmy Johnson who assigned all the blame to himself. I see these scenarios as being completely different, though. This wasn't a team that looked gassed or lacking in talent. They weren't facing a powerhouse football team. They got beat by a bunch of backups and practice squad players. If I didn't #&%ing know better, I'd say the Dolphins threw the game. It's a joke and an embarrassment to the franchise, and so it's hard to forget that it happened.

        This offseason is going to tell a lot about Joe Philbin, because there are some changes to the coaching staff that need to be made. If he won't make the changes to his staff, and they don't rock the AFC East next season, then I'll be ready for a whole new front office and staff.
      1. finresurrection's Avatar
        finresurrection -
        Quote Originally Posted by j-off-her-doll View Post
        Brian Hartline killed our early drives. If I were to blame the loss on one person (and there's plenty to go around), I'd blame Hartline. If he makes those catches, it's a completely different game.
        I can't blame this defeat on one single person, but I can say that Hartline's early performance in this game did nothing but help out the Buffalo momentum and force our D to have to repeatedly be back out on the field after yet another 3 and done drive. With that said, the way the Bills D-line played vs our O-line, we had nearly no chance of staying in this game.
      1. Hayden Fox's Avatar
        Hayden Fox -
        Listening today to Sherman discuss why they did not run the ball more is kind of sickening.

        The game was still with in striking distance and they went away from it. He basically said they have had no explosive runs so they went away from it. The Bills suck vs. the run. The run game slows down a pass rush. A reverse and reverse action could have assisted the run game. Having RT keep the ball on the read option would have yielded yards. Just bizarre play calling.

        Finally, I still wanted to see screens and some bootlegs to slow down the pass rush. Again...bizarre.
      1. finfan54's Avatar
        finfan54 -
        I appreciate this thread more when you go to the game and see it up close but dont have the full effect of the big picture because your being distracted by cheerleaders dressed in santa suits bending over.....

        anyhoo,

        1. TE usage piss poor and yes, coaching and adjustments not made and recognizing our success and failure when you do or do not use them

        2. I disagree about the weather. I think pulling the fire alarm had more effect than the weather. Bills simply outplayed us. Philbin is right about that, but no good adjustments in second half. It was only 10-0 and when we made a big play (Carroll Int or Moore to Hartline), we screwed it up afterwards.

        I chalk this game up to all of the entire Bills organization wanted it more than our entire organization. I played football on a championship type football team in HS. We got our lunch handed to us in the big final game. They wanted it more, played as if their lives depended on it, and there was nothhing really that was going to win that game. They played their hearts out. Problem is, week to week, unlikely to be consistently like that in the real world. Highs and Lows.
      1. Danny's Avatar
        Danny -
        Quote Originally Posted by Hayden Fox View Post
        Positives

        * The punt coverage units were excellent today. Starting with Brandon Fields the punt team handled the tough weather and kept the Bills pinned back deep.
        * Nolan Carroll's INT
        * Nolan Carroll's CB Blitz for a sack of QB Thad Lewis
        * Red Zone defense. The Bills were 1-4. At the end of the day, the defense did only give up one TD.
        * 3rd down defense. The defense held the Bills to 7 of 19.
        * The staff subbing Nate Garner for Sam Brenner. Brenner was getting manhandled. The change needed to happen.
        * Charles Clay's effort on an attempted catch (overruled on review) was good to see. He did not give up and played hard to the bitter end.
        * Joe Philbin had good clock management at the end of the half. He used his timeouts and the defense forced RB C.J. Spiller out of bounds killing the clock. It forced a punt another offensive try.

        Negatives

        * The team was flat. No emotion. Poor body language all game.
        * The Dolphins were shutout.
        * Minus 1 Turnover Differential
        * Total yards: 109 for Miami and 390 for the Buffalo
        * TOP: Miami's 23:29 to 36:21 for Buffalo
        * No big plays. The Fins need to get explosive plays some place and none of that happened today.
        * 3rd down offense: 2-14
        * Ryan Tannehill struggled. 10-27, 0 TD's and 0 Int
        * 7 Sacks given up. The line was at fault. The RB's blitz pickups were terrible. Daniel Thomas was indecisive along with typically ineffective. The line was abused throughout the game.
        * Brian Hartline dropped three passes.
        * The run game was ineffective. At the same time, against a bad run defense, they attempted only 12 runs (for 14 yards). This game was still close going well into the 4th quarter. The Fins had some negative runs, but at the same time the coaching staff never gave the run game a chance on day it was needed.
        * Lamar Miller was buried on the depth chart. Not sure why. The answer will be his pass pro skills, but DT was lousy in that role today. Miller has had success versus the Bills in his first two years of his young career.
        * RT has to keep the ball on the read option. There were plays to be made. Instead of tucking the ball and handed it off for little to no gain too many times.
        * Matt Moore had two bad picks. One was well behind the receiver after he connected deep to Hartline. The other he emerged from a scrum and heaved it deep to nobody.
        * No points off of the Carroll interception.
        * Penalties: 6 penalties for 37 yards.
        * Rush defense. They gave up 203 yards on 51 carries.
        * The defense had terrible understanding what the Bills wanted to do on offense. They were going run the ball or toss it deep on early downs. If they were off schedule, they would run a screen or draw.
        * Phillip Wheeler's hands to the face penalty was a killer. The defense had a stop deep in the Bills' territory and looked like they were going to force a punt. However, Wheeler's undisciplined penalty kept a drive alive for the Bills.
        * Nolan Carroll beaten by Robert Woods for 50 plus yards.
        * The defense got torched by Buffalo's TE's.
        * Philip Wheeler was a liability in coverage.
        * Missed opportunities for turnovers. Leodis McKelvin put the ball on the carpet off of a punt, but the Bills recovered. C.J. Spiller fumbled in the 4th, but two Bills jumped on the ball before any Dolphin made a bid on the ball.
        * The Dolphins were out-coached in all phases. They had no adjustments to the Bills' blitzing schemes. They had no change of pace ideas to make the Bills blitz looks slow down. Defensively, they needed to own the LOS and force Thad Lewis in known passing situations...it did not happen.
        * Joe Philbin had a bad challenge on a sideline play, that at best, would have been worth 15 yards. The replay was not conclusive.
        * While the Dolphins had too many undisciplined moments, the officiating was bad today. Gilmore should have been flagged for flinging Hartline to the ground after an incompletion. A flag was thrown, but the ref that tossed the flag was talked out of it. Mario Williams was holding Bryant McKinnie yet McKinnie made a bid for the outside blitzer. McKinnie ended up getting the flag for trying to protect his QB. Terrible miss by the refs. Charles Clay caught that ball and it did not hit the ground. There was certainly not any obvious evidence that it did hit the ground. It never should have been overturned. Cam Wake was held on a run in the 4th to set up a Bills clinching FG. The Dolphins did nothing to help themselves in this game and did not lose because of the refs, but they were not aided by them either.

        Overall Assessment

        * The weather did play a role in hurting the Dolphins today. It was an issue debated all week and those that were concerned with the task of going to Buffalo in December were vindicated.
        * Another place of concern was the amount of emotion and energy used in the win versus New England. The Dolphins had no life today and were able to continue the success from previous weeks.
        * Bills DC Mike Pettine owned Joe Philbin, Mike Sherman and Ryan Tannehill twice this year.
        * How does a 5-9 team without its starting QB, best WR, its second best WR ejected and its starting SS out, beat you 19-0? The answer is the Bills wanted it more. The Bills were also coached better and they had match ups to exploit versus the Dolphins. The Dolphins had no answers how to use their own strengths against the opponent and no ideas to circumvent the strengths of the Bills.
        * Specifically, in terms of the pass rush of Buffalo, where were the screens? Where was the maximum protections and shots deep? Where was the quick hot reads in the vacancy of the blitzing slot CB? Where was the bootleg to move the pocket? The coaching staff had no in game answer to something their team was deficient in. Very concerning.
        * Why run the read option if the QB never runs the ball? He had chances to make yards today, but RT never kept the ball.
        * It was concerning that the Dolphins defense seemed not to know the Bills offensive tendencies.
        * What a terrible broadcast. Spero Dedes, Steve Beuerlein and the F crew had an awful day. They got names wrong. The camera crew had the facial shots going of players and coaches while measurements were happening or players were injured. Beuerlein inexplicably said the Fins should allow the Bills to score a TD midway through the 4th to "keep it a two score game" (the TD would have made it 17 to 0). He somehow thought Woods should not have been ejected after throwing a close line punch to Reshad Jones. Dedes said the Bills had a great fan base yet were one of two teams with a blackout this year. Just simply a terrible broadcast.
        * The Buffalo Bills got their typical December win in bad weather in which their fans can be happy. Yet they are under .500 again for yet another year.
        * Four new offensive linemen are needed next year. Mike Pouncey should stay. However, both tackles should not be re-signed. The team should move on from John Jerry. Sam Brenner can be developed, but he could help best by being a depth player. Nate Garner can again be a "super sub". Two free agent linemen must be added along with two draft picks from May's draft.
        * The team most become more physical. In order to win in Buffalo, New York and New England in December, the Dolphins have to be the more physical team up front. They need to "punch the opponent in the mouth". Since Joe Philbin has taken over the run defense has not been as good, falling from the top of the league to the bottom ten. The offensive line has become more "finesse" as well. The "blue collar" approach like that of Seattle, San Francisco and Baltimore should be used as the template of future Dolphins teams.
        * Phillip Wheeler is a major liability that needs to be replaced next season. He has not been an upgrade over Kevin Burnett. Jelani Jenkins could be his replacement. It is a matter of when.
        * While not popular, going 9-7 this year is progress. I thought the team was a 9-7 or 10-6 team this year. I wanted progress not playoffs necessarily. A win next week is obviously important to the playoff aspirations of the team, but it is also vital to the progress of the team going into next year. Demand progress for this team. Next week will tell us a lot about this team in many ways.
        * With all this being said, the Miami Dolphins are still in this. With a Chargers win and Patriots win, EVERYTHING is still in front of the Dolphins. The Chiefs have little to play for next week, helping San Diego. The Ravens will have to play well to beat the Bengals. I do not see Marvin Lewis pulling back as his team needs to play well going into the tournament after getting bounced in the first round the past few years. That leads us to Miami. They have a home game with a rival. They have a bad taste in their mouths from a putrid performance from today. Miami can very well make the playoffs after all is said and done.
        I agree with the negatives.....as far as the "positives" think you were way too kind........specially our 3rd down defense. They couldn't get off the field. It was a pathetic performance by the whole team.

        Ozzy rules!!
      1. 39wildman's Avatar
        39wildman -
        I don't want jets or bills get vicks that would be problems