PC's weak week 11 picks:

[PressCoverage]

little self-indulged experiment, my apologies ahead of time... anyhoo, i'll try to give 3-4 picks (20 total units) a week and stay above 52.5%... and yes i'll submit them before kickoff, and document results... pass or fail...

1-2 last week! This is hard to do, and easily my worst NFL season. ... At least we've been consistent, and it offers a trend: Go against my selections each week and you've done terrific! ... In a league of underdog betting, this has certainly been a favorites season, and I have not adjusted. Embarrassing, but I will not give up. ... Gonna commit the cardinal sin in sports betting and, in an attempt to catch up a bit, increase the bet amounts to 40 units this week. But, since its fake $, who cares? Season total: 13-22; -53 units.

1. Buffalo (+11) at San Diego: Perusing the spreads, this one jumped right out at me. This is just too many points for a team that is in the hunt, and who's defense really came up big last week. LT will get his yards, but I expect the Bills to keep this one tight if they can get any semblance of a running game. A homecoming for JP Losman (yawn?), for whatever that's worth. (11u).

2. Green Bay (-4.5) vs. Minn.: Lot of money coming in on GB, and it has made this number climb. Don't be fooled by Minn.'s win at the Giants last week. Three return TDs won't be duplicated, and they're losing 31-11 on the road this year, on average. Packers' low point is over. (9u).

3. Miami (+2) at Cleveland: I apologize ahead of time. Perhaps this is the kiss of death, but I just don't think so. Miami is better, and this is statement week. First time I've picked on or against them all year. (7u).

4. Tenn. (+4) vs. Jax.: Jacksonville finally got 30 points last week, but it hasn't beaten the Titans by 4 points since 2001. The Titans got healthy off their bye week and seem like a good play here getting points at home. Jags have some key injuries. (7u).

5. Seattle (-12) at San Fran: I really hate laying double-digit points in the NFL, and apparently I've learned nothing from the Bucs' visit to San Fran a few weeks ago, which knocked me out of the survivor pool. However, the Seahawks appear to be hitting on all cylinders (despite no No. 1 receiver), and the Niners aren't. (6u).

[painnotpleasure]

Originally Posted by PressCoverage

little self-indulged experiment, my apologies ahead of time... anyhoo, i'll try to give 3-4 picks (20 total units) a week and stay above 52.5%... and yes i'll submit them before kickoff, and document results... pass or fail...

1-2 last week! This is hard to do, and easily my worst NFL season. ... At least we've been consistent, and it offers a trend: Go against my selections each week and you've done terrific! ... In a league of underdog betting, this has certainly been a favorites season, and I have not adjusted. Embarrassing, but I will not give up. ... Gonna commit the cardinal sin in sports betting and, in an attempt to catch up a bit, increase the bet amounts to 40 units this week. But, since its fake $, who cares? Season total: 13-22; -53 units.

1. Buffalo (+11) at San Diego: Perusing the spreads, this one jumped right out at me. This is just too many points for a team that is in the hunt, and who's defense really came up big last week. LT will get his yards, but I expect the Bills to keep this one tight if they can get any semblance of a running game. A homecoming for JP Losman (yawn?), for whatever that's worth. (11u).

2. Green Bay (-4.5) vs. Minn.: Lot of money coming in on GB, and it has made this number climb. Don't be fooled by Minn.'s win at the Giants last week. Three return TDs won't be duplicated, and they're losing 31-11 on the road this year, on average. Packers' low point is over. (9u).

3. Miami (+2) at Cleveland: I apologize ahead of time. Perhaps this is the kiss of death, but I just don't think so. Miami is better, and this is statement week. First time I've picked on or against them all year. (7u).

4. Tenn. (+4) vs. Jax.: Jacksonville finally got 30 points last week, but it hasn't beaten the Titans by 4 points since 2001. The Titans got healthy off their bye week and seem like a good play here getting points at home. Jags have some key injuries. (7u).

5. Seattle (-12) at San Fran: I really hate laying double-digit points in the NFL, and apparently I've learned nothing from the Bucs' visit to San Fran a few weeks ago, which knocked me out of the survivor pool. However, the Seahawks appear to be hitting on all cylinders (despite no No. 1 receiver), and the Niners aren't. (6u).

Good luck on your plays PC, I do think that Buffalo will beat the spread, although I'm not sure about Tennessee, I agree with the rest.