Super Bowl spread winner

PressCoverage · 01-23-2006, 12:08 AM

i heard an opening number of 3.5... likely to change, but for now who would u take?

byroan · 01-23-2006, 12:09 AM

VIP Sports has Pittsburgh at -3.5.

I think Pittsburgh is going to win, but it's still surprising to see Seattle as the underdogs.

PressCoverage · 01-23-2006, 12:13 AM

oops, and i cant edit the options.... coulda swore i heard "seahawks enter as 3.5 favorites"... anyhow, sorry

byroan · 01-23-2006, 12:19 AM

Fixed it for ya.

PressCoverage · 01-23-2006, 12:20 AM

very cool, thx

Roman529 · 01-23-2006, 12:24 AM

I think -3.5 Pitt and +3.5 Seattle is the same thing?

Hope it is fixed...how can the Steelers be favored?? They are the #6 seed. :eek:

PressCoverage · 01-23-2006, 12:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Roman529

I think -3.5 Pitt and +3.5 Seattle is the same thing?

Hope it is fixed...how can the Steelers be favored?? They are the #6 seed. :eek:

no.... see, what was wrong was the favorite listed

... not the number itself

steelers are favored.... i had listed seattle

Awsi Dooger · 01-23-2006, 01:27 AM

Pittsburgh is now up to -4. The total is between 47 and 48.

I have no idea. When the playoffs wind down to the point no teams are rejected by my run the ball often (30ish), pass the ball well (7+ YPA) dosage index theory, I generally don't bet. That was the case today and good thing because I would not have come up with both winners.

I guess I'll just hope some joint makes a blatant mistake when they put up the Super Bowl prop. Very often you can get a good price on yes there will be 3 straight scores for one team. The correct price is more than 2/1 yes, but the public tends to think the games go back and forth so they bet heavily on the no and drive the number down. On one game you obviously can lose betting yes, but over the long haul if you bet yes every time whenever the price is less than -2.00, you will come out ahead.

PressCoverage · 01-23-2006, 07:04 PM

well, i gotta say then.... i love the under...

Awsi Dooger · 01-23-2006, 08:50 PM

Here's a very relevant reference point in the playoffs, Bud Goode's "Killer Stat" of Offensive Yards Per Attempt minus Defensive Yards Per Attempt.

You will notice Pittsburgh was 2nd in the league, just 1/10 below Indianapolis, despite being a #6 seed. The teams with a significant advantage in this regard have done very well in the playoffs in regard to the spread, this year and almost every year. Pittsburgh is +2.3 while Seattle is +1.4, so I'd estimate the correct team is favored: http://mule.he.net/~budsport/pub/killer.php

byroan · 01-26-2006, 03:07 AM

Here's one of the prop bets on VIP sports.

Will The Burger King Score TD
Any Commercial Between Kickoff and Last Play
Yes (-500)
000 No (350)
No Burger King Commercial Is NO

CirclingWagons · 01-26-2006, 11:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PressCoverage

well, i gotta say then.... i love the under...

is 47 or 48 the O/U as of now? If so, that's tricky...both teams have solid defenses but I have a strong feeling this game is gonna be a shootout

dm416 · 01-26-2006, 03:45 PM

I thought the line was 4

byroan · 01-27-2006, 02:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dm416

I thought the line was 4

It is. It started out at 3.5 though.

And yes, CW, the O/U is 47 right now.

myfins1 · 01-28-2006, 12:05 AM

I will take seahawks with the spread thanks.

View Poll Results: Seattle vs. Pittsburgh (-4), at Detroit
Seahawks +4	20	64.52%
Steelers -4	11	35.48%
Voters: 31. You may not vote on this poll

01-23-2006, 12:13 AM	#3
PressCoverage Hall Of Famer Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 8,821 Thanks: 50 Thanked 95 Times in 65 Posts	oops, and i cant edit the options.... coulda swore i heard "seahawks enter as 3.5 favorites"... anyhow, sorry __________________ *"Cassius was right: 'the fault, dear Brutus, is not in our stars but in ourselves...' " -- Murrow.*

01-23-2006, 12:20 AM	#5
PressCoverage Hall Of Famer Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 8,821 Thanks: 50 Thanked 95 Times in 65 Posts	very cool, thx __________________ *"Cassius was right: 'the fault, dear Brutus, is not in our stars but in ourselves...' " -- Murrow.*

01-23-2006, 07:04 PM	#9
PressCoverage Hall Of Famer Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 8,821 Thanks: 50 Thanked 95 Times in 65 Posts	well, i gotta say then.... i love the under... __________________ *"Cassius was right: 'the fault, dear Brutus, is not in our stars but in ourselves...' " -- Murrow.*

01-26-2006, 03:45 PM	#13
dm416 Pro Bowler Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 1,220 Thanks: 0 Thanked 1 Time in 1 Post	I thought the line was 4 __________________ Thanx 2 feelthepain 4 the sig

01-23-2006, 12:09 AM	#2
byroan Dead Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 18,124 Thanks: 24 Thanked 33 Times in 22 Posts FH Badges Total Awards: 2	VIP Sports has Pittsburgh at -3.5. I think Pittsburgh is going to win, but it's still surprising to see Seattle as the underdogs.

01-23-2006, 12:19 AM	#4
byroan Dead Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 18,124 Thanks: 24 Thanked 33 Times in 22 Posts FH Badges Total Awards: 2	Fixed it for ya.

01-23-2006, 12:24 AM	#6
Roman529 Moon Runner / The 3 AM Crew Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: Colorado Springs, CO Posts: 25,011 Thanks: 91 Thanked 313 Times in 238 Posts	I think -3.5 Pitt and +3.5 Seattle is the same thing? Hope it is fixed...how can the Steelers be favored?? They are the #6 seed. :eek:

01-23-2006, 01:27 AM	#8
Awsi Dooger Haig Ultra Join Date: Feb 2005 Location: Las Vegas Posts: 3,434 Thanks: 91 Thanked 112 Times in 77 Posts	Pittsburgh is now up to -4. The total is between 47 and 48. I have no idea. When the playoffs wind down to the point no teams are rejected by my run the ball often (30ish), pass the ball well (7+ YPA) dosage index theory, I generally don't bet. That was the case today and good thing because I would not have come up with both winners. I guess I'll just hope some joint makes a blatant mistake when they put up the Super Bowl prop. Very often you can get a good price on yes there will be 3 straight scores for one team. The correct price is more than 2/1 yes, but the public tends to think the games go back and forth so they bet heavily on the no and drive the number down. On one game you obviously can lose betting yes, but over the long haul if you bet yes every time whenever the price is less than -2.00, you will come out ahead.

01-23-2006, 08:50 PM	#10
Awsi Dooger Haig Ultra Join Date: Feb 2005 Location: Las Vegas Posts: 3,434 Thanks: 91 Thanked 112 Times in 77 Posts	Here's a very relevant reference point in the playoffs, Bud Goode's "Killer Stat" of Offensive Yards Per Attempt minus Defensive Yards Per Attempt. You will notice Pittsburgh was 2nd in the league, just 1/10 below Indianapolis, despite being a #6 seed. The teams with a significant advantage in this regard have done very well in the playoffs in regard to the spread, this year and almost every year. Pittsburgh is +2.3 while Seattle is +1.4, so I'd estimate the correct team is favored: http://mule.he.net/~budsport/pub/killer.php

01-26-2006, 03:07 AM	#11
byroan Dead Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 18,124 Thanks: 24 Thanked 33 Times in 22 Posts FH Badges Total Awards: 2	Here's one of the prop bets on VIP sports. Will The Burger King Score TD Any Commercial Between Kickoff and Last Play Yes (-500) 000 No (350) No Burger King Commercial Is NO

01-28-2006, 12:05 AM	#15
myfins1 Starter Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 149 Thanks: 0 Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts	I will take seahawks with the spread thanks.

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