Stay safe Florida/Gulf Coast Dolphans...Isaac is coming.

[CalDolFan10x14]

While it looks ragged right now, Tropical Storm Isaac is forecast to strengthen to a hurricane by the time it reaches the Florida Keys and potentially a Category 2 or higher hurricane before it's in the history books.


From the National Hurricane Center...

THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS ISAAC MOVES OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE FLORIDA STRAITS AND EASTERN GULF. STEADY STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO BE AT OR NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN THE CENTER REACHES THE FLORIDA KEYS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY WHILE THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE NEW INTENSITY FORECAST IS A LITTLE HIGHER THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS BETWEEN THE SHIPS/LGEM GUIDANCE AND THE MORE AGGRESSIVE HWRF MODEL.

IT IS IMPORTANT NOT TO FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK SINCE SIGNIFICANT HAZARDS EXTEND WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER. SINCE LARGE UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN IN THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST...IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE EXACTLY WHERE AND WHEN ISAAC WILL MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE GULF COAST.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 26/0300Z 22.1N 77.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 26/1200Z 23.4N 79.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 27/0000Z 24.6N 81.8W 65 KT 75 MPH...NEAR FLORIDA KEYS
36H 27/1200Z 25.8N 83.7W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 28/0000Z 27.2N 85.2W 85 KT 100 MPH
72H 29/0000Z 29.5N 86.5W 90 KT 105 MPH
96H 30/0000Z 31.5N 86.5W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
120H 31/0000Z 34.0N 86.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND

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Oops...messed up the thread title. That was supposed to say "Stay safe..."