A Jobs Report Conspiracy?

[Spesh]

I don't even think you know what the word means.

Means the United States Military and space exploration, thank you very much.

[Eshlemon]

Eshlemon would be good with this. He's good with economic numbers. If what the author said is true "the unemployment number is not based on the survey of employers that showed that 114,000 jobs were added to the economy last month. Rather it is based on a survey of households." then at least we could know thediscrepancy. Why were different numbers used? Because last months numbers were just about the same as September. And we didn't see any change in the unemployment. But this month we do? Like I said before it's worth taking a look at.

Pretty standard stuff all the time from the BLS and haven't seen any intention of them being involved in any shenanigans in the past and don't think so now. Just about all preliminary numbers get revised later date and Obama may have just caught a break as there is an anomaly in non-adjusted/seasonal adjustments. Last year from august to september we lost 286,000 private jobs and gained 983,000 government jobs the seasonal unemployment bump of 9 to 8.9%. This years preliminary august to september we lost 377,000 private jobs and gained 951,000 government with the bump up from 8.1 to 7.8%. Ususally this type of difference its easy to explain, more people stopped looking for work, but the preliminary labor participation was stated as increasing from 63.5% to 63.6% compared to being flat at 64.1% last year. And if I had to put money on it, would bet the preliminary participation rate gets lowered and continues trend downward over the previous 3 months of 63.8, 63.7, and 63.5 in August.


To view links or images in this forum your post count must be 10 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.


To view links or images in this forum your post count must be 10 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.


To view links or images in this forum your post count must be 10 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.

[Dolphins9954]

Pretty standard stuff all the time from the BLS and haven't seen any intention of them being involved in any shenanigans in the past and don't think so now. Just about all preliminary numbers get revised later date and Obama may have just caught a break as there is an anomaly in non-adjusted/seasonal adjustments. Last year from august to september we lost 286,000 private jobs and gained 983,000 government jobs the seasonal unemployment bump of 9 to 8.9%. This years preliminary august to september we lost 377,000 private jobs and gained 951,000 government with the bump up from 8.1 to 7.8%. Ususally this type of difference its easy to explain, more people stopped looking for work, but the preliminary labor participation was stated as increasing from 63.5% to 63.6% compared to being flat at 64.1% last year. And if I had to put money on it, would bet the preliminary participation rate gets lowered and continues trend downward over the previous 3 months of 63.8, 63.7, and 63.5 in August.


To view links or images in this forum your post count must be 10 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.


To view links or images in this forum your post count must be 10 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.


To view links or images in this forum your post count must be 10 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.

And that's why you're the man.

[phins_4_ever]

Eh? I suggested going into the Anything Goes Thread(and screaming about bullcrap in there).

But if that is some sort of objection i will say then: socialist. Challenged declared, go for that thread and rage.

To view links or images in this forum your post count must be 10 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.