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Top 10 'buyer beware' free agents
Sean Smith,Reggie Bush, Cary Williams among free agents teams should avoid
Originally Published: February 6, 2013
By Khaled Elsayed | ESPN Insider
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Getty Images,USA TODAY SportsSean Smith, Reggie Bush and Cary Williams could get big bucks this offseason.
In NFL free agency, it's important to exercise discretion when making moves. Sometimes the moves you don't make can be more significant than the ones you do. Even if your team needs an
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at a position, paying top dollar in an inflated market for a player can be costly. Years down the line, it is those big flops that hurt a franchise unable to rebuild as it lives out its impetuous mistake of trying to find a quick fix.
So which players come with a "buyer beware" tag in 2013? Here are the top 10 when viewed through the Pro Football Focus prism.
Note: More detailed explanations of the advanced statistics used below can be found
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.
Defense
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, cornerback
2012 team:
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Williams
If reports are to be believed, Williams
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on himself by turning down a three-year, $15 million contract from the Ravens last year. Two postseason interceptions, to go with four in the regular season (along with 11 pass deflections), might suggest that was a wise move from Williams.
But watching the tape a little closer doesn't leave you quite as impressed. Williams gave up 39 first downs in the regular season and six more in the postseason, meaning his combined 45 first downs surrendered were the second highest of all cornerbacks. He wasn't a shutdown corner but rather someone teams moved the chains on. He may be looking for top cornerback
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, but teams shouldn't be fooled into thinking he is one.
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, safety
2012 team:
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Landry
On the back of what ended up being a Pro Bowl season, Landry has positioned himself to get paid. He won't be taking a hometown discount with the Jets because in his eyes his stock is at an all-time high after he proved he could handle the rigors of an
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season by playing 96.6 percent of the Jets' defensive snaps.
Only the tape doesn't back up his performance. Eighty-eight tackles represent a big number, but his 4.7
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was only 14th among safeties despite his spending 46.2 percent of his snaps in the box. He also got beat for 16 first downs and four touchdowns, the 11th-highest number of all safeties in coverage. Sure Landry can put a big hit on a receiver at times, but don't let those big plays fool you. He's not an elite, difference-making player, and he misses too many tackles (his 13 were 12th highest among safeties).
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Last edited by Fin Fan in Cali; 02-07-2013 at 05:24 AM.
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Who Can Make a Play?
Hard to argue, but I still think it is hard to find corners in this league. I support bringing Smith back.
---------- Post added at 02:43 AM ---------- Previous post was at 02:41 AM ----------
It is also obvious that Ireland is doing the right thing in letting all of these guys get to FA and see their worth. I see a purge happening as almost all of these guys are replaceable.
old pro
With respect to Bush as well as Long and Hartline, it all depends on how reasonable they (or their agents) are. I don't want to overpay for any of them. But, that also goes for other team's FA's.
The Bucs spent a lot of money on Vincent Jackson and Carl Nicks, yet they had the same record as our Phins.
The Bills spent a boatload of money on Mario Williams and thought they would have a dominant defense. Didn't happen.
Signing the right FA's for your team is better than signing the best FA's (and most expensive) on the market. That's how the Pats have done it.
The cynic knows the price of everything, but the value of nothing
-Oscar Wilde
there's no shame in this game
can't open it for some reason...can anyone name the 10 guys on the list...
hoops scoops...prospects mia should target top 4 rounds 2013 draft...
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Am I missing the link, I don't see it, but id love to read this.
there's no shame in this game
ha ha...well maybe that's my problem
Pro Bowler
Yeah, It's ESPN insider and they want you to pay to read the rest of it. I can't see it either.
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Scout Team
ESPN Insider is such crap.
Go DOLPHINS
Starter
To view links or images in this forum your post count must be 10 or greater. You currently have 0 posts. Originally Posted by jlfin
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With respect to Bush as well as Long and Hartline, it all depends on how reasonable they (or their agents) are. I don't want to overpay for any of them. But, that also goes for other team's FA's.
The Bucs spent a lot of money on Vincent Jackson and Carl Nicks, yet they had the same record as our Phins.
The Bills spent a boatload of money on Mario Williams and thought they would have a dominant defense. Didn't happen.
Signing the right FA's for your team is better than signing the best FA's (and most expensive) on the market. That's how the Pats have done it.
sometimes (more times then not) it's the system/coaches then it is the talent. Kinda like the pats.
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currently the 19th ranked competitive eater in the world
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Hard to argue, but I still think it is hard to find corners in this league. I support bringing Smith back.
can't open it for some reason...can anyone name the 10 guys on the list...hoops scoops...prospects mia should target top 4 rounds 2013 draft...
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