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Thread: Risk vs Reward for Manning

  1. -1
    MiamiDolphin618's Avatar
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    Risk vs Reward for Manning

    I am seeing a lot of speculation about Miami being very interested in Manning if he becomes a FA. I think when making this decision, the risk vs reward is the key component. First off, obviously he must be cleared by the docs and be healthy enough to play. Sure, he could be " one big hit" from being done, but that can be said about every single player in the league. Of course, coming off two neck surgeries he is much more at risk for a career ending hit.

    However, the other QBs that seem to be brought up have risks just as great. Matt Flynn, is he going to be elite? Now if Philibin says he wants to go all in for him I will completely trust in his decision, but until that happens I have to question Flynn as elite. Has he looked great in a small sample size? Sure. Is that enough to warrant a large contract...I dont know. Can he come in and play like a top 8 QB, one that we can get to the playoffs and win with? That is a major risk. Same goes for RGIII. Can he compete right now, or do we wait 2-3 years while our premium talent ages. Does he develop? All risks you have to weigh with their rewards. IMO I would rather take the risk on Manning if he is cleared to play. If he stays healthy, we are SB contenders for a few years..and I think that reward is worth it.

    I guess the question is do you think the chance of Manning staying healthy is greater than the chance of Flynn becoming Elite...or RGIII becoming worth the compensation we would have to give up for him? Its a tough call...but I think Philibin is the best candidate to make that call..at least in regard to Flynn.
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    broccoli rob's Avatar
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    Risk: pay a QB a boatload of money
    Reward: have Peyton Manning...

    ill take reward, for 500, Alex.
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    foozool13's Avatar
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    If he is healthy enough to play...SIGN HIM UP ASAP! This is Peyton Manning folks. If you can get him, you go get him! .

    Do you give him a max contract?? You bet your *** you do. He is a true franchise QB. Pay the man.
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    J. David Wannyheimer's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by brocolli rob View Post
    Risk: pay a QB a boatload of money
    Reward: have Peyton Manning...

    ill take reward, for 500, Alex.
    Actually, the risk is the opportunity cost of missing out on Flynn or whoever else we would target as a QB this offseason. The risk is that Manning won't even make it through the preseason (which I think is the most likely scenario).

    This move would be even dumber than the Jets going after Favre, because at least Favre wasn't suffering from a permanent injury that limited his strength and movement in his throwing arm.
    "Society became divided into camps in which no man trusted his fellow. To put an end to this, there was neither promise to be depended upon, nor oath that could command respect; but all parties dwelling rather in their calculation upon the hopelessness of a permanent state of things, were more intent upon self-defence than capable of confidence." - Thucydides, probably predicting the rise of internet message boards
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    broccoli rob's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by foozool13 View Post
    If he is healthy...SIGN HIM UP ASAP!
    Without question, the right call.

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    Tunaphish429's Avatar
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    To me the risk far outweighs the reward in this case..Peyton has maybe 2 years left..You have to pay him a bunch of money and you cant get those 2 years back..Their is no gurantee of winning it all with him and can he stay healthy?
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    SabanHater's Avatar
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    there is no one else like Peyton. If he's healthy you do it and never look back. He's worth every risk. Also, I'm sure now with his little brother going back to the Super Bowl his drive to get back on the field has tripled.
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    johngarry's Avatar
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    if you had a C2-C3-C4 fusion, what would you're life's calling be: spending it enjoying the ride on Sundays... or getting run over by a ride multiple times on Sundays?

    stay home Peyton... you've earned it.
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    Penthos's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by johngarry View Post
    if you had a C2-C3-C4 fusion, what would you're life's calling be: spending it enjoying the ride on Sundays... or getting run over by a ride multiple times on Sundays?

    stay home Peyton... you've earned it.
    That's the average Joe. This is Peyton Manning. He did't get to his level because he "likes" the game, he got there because he's had a burning desire to play and lifelong dedication to the game. The only way Manning choses not to play is if he can't play.
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    dolfan91's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Penthos View Post
    That's the average Joe. This is Peyton Manning. He did't get to his level because he "likes" the game, he got there because he's had a burning desire to play and lifelong dedication to the game. The only way Manning choses not to play is if he can't play.
    Cervical Spinal Fusion Surgery, doesn't discriminate against the "AVERAGE JOE" from Peyton Manning or any Athlete for that matter ... This situation is not like having a torn ACL, MCL or Rotator Cuff tear!!! In those cases "ATHLETES" can FAR out rehab the average person to come back as good or better than before the injury!!! in Spinal Fusion cases, your dealing with Vertebra's, Bone Grafs or Bone Cadavors, Titanium or Metal Plates and most of all Spinal Disc removal ... Spinal Fusion doesn't allow for any person with more desire than the average person to get better faster or quicker ... Manning's DESIRE is clouding his judgement in this situation ... no matter how much the "AVERAGE FAN" wants to SPIN IT; because they want Manning in a Dolphins Uniform, there is no escaping the realities of the type of surgery and it's after affects Fusion Surgery causes the human body .... ANYONE who thinks because it's Peyton Manning and he is an NFL Player he's going to get better YOUR ALL FOOLING YOURSELVES!!! EDUCATE YOUR MINDS 1st before blindly making statements about Manning being in Miami ...
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