Anytime I begin talking about sports betting with someone Im not familiar with(and this happens often as you can imagine..... you can figure why) if they tell me they do better at betting NFL than college I immediately dismiss anything else they say. Thats because I know they are full of ****.
Id like to find the person who can win long term betting the NFL. Its almost impossible. Im sure there is some ridiculously skilled gambler who does it somewhere, but hitting the 60% clip needed to make profit betting NFL is just not realistic long term. Sure, everyone has their seasons. Ive hit around 60% before. Years back when it was easier however. I DO NOT bet NFL anymore. Perhaps I will occasionally place a small wager on a game for ****s and giggles, but I refuse to throw serious money at it. I only bet on things that I know will make a profit for me long term.
College football on the other hand has always been beatable. The differences in the teams are HUGE. This fact of course makes it more difficult for the oddsmakers to set lines that are dead on or within a certain range. Any decent mathmetician can figure this **** out. There is simply a wider range for the oddsmakers to nail. The margin of error for them is not the same as the NFL. In the NFL, you could almost make every game a 3 point spread and do just fine as the house. Over half of the games are decided by one score. Its nearly impossible to predict with the spreads.
A skilled bettor can hit in the 70% clip or greater in college football. I know this because I have done it..... several times. The bowl games are especially beatable if you know how to weight the strength and styles of the conferences.
So anyone who states they do better betting NFL games is either full of ****, just plain lucky, or does absolutely no homework on college ball...... or some combination of those 3 things.