I am just going off of what has historically taken place in these elections; the incumbent never wins if he’s polling below 50 percent. However, I completely agree with you, it will be tough because we can’t underestimate just how vicious the Obama campaign can be once they realize they’re in trouble. We’re going to see all kinds of fictional wars on woman and gays, and how Republicans hate old people and want to go back to the days of segregation…blah…blah…blah. Fortunately, I think the American voting public isn’t going to buy any of that, all they know is that the economy is horrible and has been horrible for Obama’s entire presidency. The last person I would want to be right now (besides Mark Sanchez) is Joe Biden, his friend just laid an egg in a debate and now there is more pressure for him to do well against Paul Ryan, and everyone knows that Ryan is as sharp as they come when it comes to the economy. Gaff alert!