Amazing math work....
Money lines are lower than I expected, in the -210 range. That means it's theoretically less than 50/50 that both Miami and Pittsburgh win this weekend. I used the man-to-man money line price of -195 for a truer perspective. It's roughly 43.7% chance that the Dolphins and Steelers win.
Somebody get Nate Silver on the phone...
If we get in at 8 and 8 it will go a long way towards making up for the season we missed the playoffs with a 10-6 record (which is virtually unheard of). It will also mean we aren't as bad as perceived, since we'd still be better than a lot of teams in the AFC that don't get in. Go figure?
The superior man blames himself. The inferior man blames others.
- Don Shula
Thanks for the effort amigo but I skipped through most of that since there really is no point. Next year though. Maybe.
The Jests game. I said it when it happened that game would be a killer come years end. You just cant lose games at home to inferior teams. The Jests are one of the worst teams in the league. Playing them in Miami is one of the easiest games on our schedule. The blown kicks by Crapenter as well as Tannehill playing like dog**** in this game cost us dearly.
With just that win, we would be much better off in these scenarios right now. But, couple it with NOT the Arizona game, but the PATS GAME!!!!!
HOME DIVISIONAL games. You gotta win them. Our defense handed us this game on a silver platter. Yet AGAIN in a divisional game, Tannehill played like complete dog****, costing us the opportunity to win.
Had we won those 2 games, not only would we be 8-6 right now and in the drivers seat for a WC, we would control our own destiny to WIN THE DIVISION! The pats would be 9-5 right now had we beaten them. If we had beaten them and the Jests AT HOME then we could win the last 2 to take the division.
The bottom line is we have to play better in the division. You cant lose at home in the division. You cant lose road games to trash teams like Buffalo. Hell, we couldve beaten Buffalo on the road too if Tannehill had not played like dog****. Tannehill has been trash in every divisional game this season. The only one we were victorious in so far was the game Matt Moore lead us to victory in NY.
This team simply isnt a playoff caliber team. The defense is certainly playoff caliber. The offense MUST get better in order for us to compete. We MUST get some talent on that side of the ball and Tannehill simply has to play much better if we are going to win.
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If this happened or if that happened. Our fanbase is full of "IF'S".
We are who we thought we are. Medicore with some talent on D but not playoff material.
Its ok though as there is always next year. Sigh