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Thread: Playoff Picks- Dog's Day's Coming?

  1. -21
    FinHeaven VIP

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    Tannehill 17
Gift received at 02-24-2014, 02:26 PM from hooshoopsTannehill 17Tannehill 17
    Quote Originally Posted by WVDolphan View Post
    Didnt know this thread was in here as well as VIP.

    Again, Im going with New England and Denver to win comfortably.

    In the NFC I like Green Bay and Matty Ice to advance to the NFCCG.

    This leaves the top QBs in the game to battle it out for a trip to the SB of course.

    It also would keep alive my preseason pick of Peyton vs. Matty Ice in the Super Bowl. Both teams earned homefield throughout by having the best records in the league.

    http://www.finheaven.com/show...-GO!&highlight=



    Overall those were some decent predictions. I nailed all 4 division winners in the AFC and saw those 4 teams being head and shoulders above the rest. That played out. I shouldve taken the Colts to win a wildcard as that was my instinct the weeks before I posted that thread.

    In the NFC I was foolish enough to think Green Bay wouldnt get in. I didnt think they would have a horrible season, I just saw a lot of quality teams in the conference. The Bears folded on me as they usually do. The Giants folded up too. Detroit just plain blows. Only a sucker wouldve taken them to qualify for the playoffs over Green Bay... .

    But, what its going to come down to is the best QBs in the league battling it out in the championship games. Matty Ice vs. Rodgers and Peyton vs. Brady. Were in for some great football the next couple of weeks. These are my favorite 2 weekends of football. The divisional round is outstanding with 2 games on back to back days. I think we have the best 4 teams in each conference going at it.

    FWIW, Only the NFC East does not have a team left in the fight since Seattle won the battle of wounded knee last week. Ive been saying that division is highly overrated.

    Brady
    Peyton
    Rodgers
    Matty Ice
    Eli
    Brees
    Roethlisberger
    Luck

    I hope we see 4 of them next week. Should be outstanding.
    Yeah, put it up on both to see what everyone was thinking.
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  2. -22
    Hayden Fox's Avatar
    At the end of the day...

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    1972 Dolphins LogoMike Wallace 11Cam Wake 91Tannehill 17Dolphin
    The pats win the super bowl over the falcons...big. **** the pats...but I call **** as I see it
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  3. -23
    Awsi Dooger's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Southbeach 2 View Post
    I put GB and Seattle in a teaser (add 6 points to your bet on each team but both must win vs points) which I seldom do
    Teasers are decent bets in the NFL. Just don't do it in college football. Teasers are horrendous value in college games, to the point we used to be hard pressed to restrain laughter when a guy came to the window and loaded up on college teasers. After the games the sportsbook will grade parlay cards, by putting the result in the computer. It's not unusual for one NFL game after another to fall within the teaser range, in other words both sides covering the teaser. College games simply don't fall close to the number, not to justify the price you pay for the teaser. Often we'd grade 8 or 10 or more college games in a row and not one of them fell within the teaser range.

    College teasers are for suckers. Every sports bettor should memorize that phrase. If you win via college teasers, you'd be winning more via parlaying the same teams. In fact, I know guys who will make that bet.

    The best value NFL teaser is 3-team 7 point with a 3/2 payout. But that's very difficult to find these days. Most joints finally wised up and dropped the payout to 7/5. Some are lower than that.
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  4. -24
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    I appreciate Manning and Rodgers losing on the same day. Can't stand hearing about quarterbacks and nothing but quarterbacks, that rushing and defense mean nothing. Great job by the Harbaugh brothers to inject basic football and some contrast, instead of falling for the simplistic notion that all you have to do is wing the ball from the shotgun all day. The dream scenario would be Brady and Ryan similarly exiting tomorrow, although I doubt we'll see that. Not when both are at home.

    It's a weird NFL era with the same teams dominating the regular season and racking up 12 or 13 wins, but surprises in the playoffs.

    Green Bay's loss demonstrates once again how difficult it is to recapture the NFL title one season after being dethroned. That's a down scenario but somehow it's fashionable to pick that team. Only three teams since the inception of the NFL have regained the title one year after losing it, and it never happened in the AFL. The three examples are a Halas Bears team in the '40s, the Cowboys in '95 and the Patriots in '03.

    Barry Switzer never received nearly enough credit for winning that '95 Super Bowl with a team that had been dethroned a season earlier. It's simply not a well known trend. In betting circles you're not allowed to be unaware of trends like that. Every small edge is vital.
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  5. -25
    joenhre's Avatar
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    I'm calling an all Harbaugh Superbowl
    Ravens 30 Texans 24 (Texans will shock the Patriots 27 -24 you heard it here first)
    49ers 26 Falcons 23 (Falcons will beat the Seahawks 34 - 17 while ole Pete will be doing his infamous choke gesture)

    Ravens 34 49ers 28 in the Big Game
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  6. -26
    WVDolphan's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by joenhre View Post
    I'm calling an all Harbaugh Superbowl
    Ravens 30 Texans 24 (Texans will shock the Patriots 27 -24 you heard it here first)
    49ers 26 Falcons 23 (Falcons will beat the Seahawks 34 - 17 while ole Pete will be doing his infamous choke gesture)

    Ravens 34 49ers 28 in the Big Game
    If its Baltimore vs. San Fran, I would not watch the SB for the first time in my life.
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  7. -27
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    Tannehill 17
Gift received at 02-24-2014, 02:26 PM from hooshoopsTannehill 17Tannehill 17
    Quote Originally Posted by Awsi Dooger View Post
    Teasers are decent bets in the NFL. Just don't do it in college football. Teasers are horrendous value in college games, to the point we used to be hard pressed to restrain laughter when a guy came to the window and loaded up on college teasers. After the games the sportsbook will grade parlay cards, by putting the result in the computer. It's not unusual for one NFL game after another to fall within the teaser range, in other words both sides covering the teaser. College games simply don't fall close to the number, not to justify the price you pay for the teaser. Often we'd grade 8 or 10 or more college games in a row and not one of them fell within the teaser range.

    College teasers are for suckers. Every sports bettor should memorize that phrase. If you win via college teasers, you'd be winning more via parlaying the same teams. In fact, I know guys who will make that bet.

    The best value NFL teaser is 3-team 7 point with a 3/2 payout. But that's very difficult to find these days. Most joints finally wised up and dropped the payout to 7/5. Some are lower than that.
    I normally only bet a teaser if there are two teams I believe will win outright getting points. This year was good in hitting on 3 of 4.

    One other to add that any better should memorize is that when you are ahead, you are NOT, NOT, NOT playing with house money. If you stop, the money goes in your pocket and is YOURS, nothing to do with the house.

    When I used to go to Vegas, I heard people say that constantly, and it made me cringe. LOL
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  8. -28
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    Tannehill 17
Gift received at 02-24-2014, 02:26 PM from hooshoopsTannehill 17Tannehill 17
    Quote Originally Posted by Awsi Dooger View Post
    I appreciate Manning and Rodgers losing on the same day. Can't stand hearing about quarterbacks and nothing but quarterbacks, that rushing and defense mean nothing. Great job by the Harbaugh brothers to inject basic football and some contrast, instead of falling for the simplistic notion that all you have to do is wing the ball from the shotgun all day. The dream scenario would be Brady and Ryan similarly exiting tomorrow, although I doubt we'll see that. Not when both are at home.

    It's a weird NFL era with the same teams dominating the regular season and racking up 12 or 13 wins, but surprises in the playoffs.

    Green Bay's loss demonstrates once again how difficult it is to recapture the NFL title one season after being dethroned. That's a down scenario but somehow it's fashionable to pick that team. Only three teams since the inception of the NFL have regained the title one year after losing it, and it never happened in the AFL. The three examples are a Halas Bears team in the '40s, the Cowboys in '95 and the Patriots in '03.

    Barry Switzer never received nearly enough credit for winning that '95 Super Bowl with a team that had been dethroned a season earlier. It's simply not a well known trend. In betting circles you're not allowed to be unaware of trends like that. Every small edge is vital.
    I never use historic trends. Each year is a different team vs different competition. A SB winner, one year removed, has different or, older, or younger players, as well as likely different coaches.

    There are exceptions, to a degree. For example, teams flying cross country, short weeks, off a bye, etc. but, those are constant, and the same from year to year, regardless of a team's turnover.
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  9. -29
    russianbear's Avatar
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    Too late now but,

    Picked Ravens (I swear! :O)
    Picked Packers (ouch, damned Kaepernick)
    Gimme the Texans
    Gimme the Falcons
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  10. -30
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    PS4 ControllerTannehill 17Cam Wake 911972 Dolphins Logo
    Quote Originally Posted by Fins_of_Fury View Post
    Ravens
    Niners
    Atlanta
    Patriots
    I'm looking good so far, lets see what today holds
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