Unlike most years, there really isn't a strong consensus of top players in this draft. Every year we see some adjustment at the top where an athletic marvel like Nick Fairley falls and a more solid prospect like Marcel Darius rises. But this year it seems strange. Most of the very best athletic kids all underperformed. None of the QB's looked like future greats. There's just a huge amount of 'maybe' in the first half of the draft. There are a lot of guys who will be busts or simply decent players who will be greatly overdrafted. I see different GM's grading out prospects wildly differently, so I expect more trades than usual as the GM's try to push through the sea of mediocrity and get 'their guy.'
I definitely think this is a year where we could get a top 5 guy at 12. I'm also increasingly uneasy about staying at 12, because the prospects that most interest me are all going after that but before our 2a pick. This draft will really underline which scouts/GM's are good, and which ones can't see it. Does Mingo become the next Jevon Kearse? Does Sam Montgomery become the next phenom zone blitz guy in Pittsburgh? Does Dion Jordan become the second coming of Jason Taylor? Does Jarvis Jones become a hard worker? Does Margus Hunt learn to play football? Does Zeki Ansah channel his inner Tamba Hali? Does Carradine get healthy? Or do they all become massive busts a la Vernon Gholston? This draft is going to get a lot of GM's fired in a year or two IMHO.
By the time the draft rolls around, post combine, we will see a different board I suspect. QB's will rise, OL will rise (already started to happen really), and FA will sharpen teams' needs. I'm just not convinced that the 12 is going to be any worse than 2 or better than 22. Shocking, I know, but this looks like a very subjective class to me. I doubt there will be a consensus of top players, I expect to see a lot of trades, and I have my fingers crossed that we get players that work well with Tannehill.