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Thread: Gil Brandt`s Draft QB Ratings

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    Gil Brandt`s Draft QB Ratings

    Formula supposedly predicts future success.............not sure about that

    http://www.nfl.com/draft/story/0ap10...uel-score-well

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    Landry Jones ahead of Matt Barkley. Riiight.

    ---------- Post added at 05:44 PM ---------- Previous post was at 05:43 PM ----------

    I call BS on Barkley being ranked fifth period.

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    Over/under 2.5 of this year's QB prospects starting in the NFL in 5 years.

    I'd take the under. Even at 1.5 I'm still taking the under.
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    Square root of passer rating + 10 + second intergral of pocket presence - differential of number of gutsy plays = SUCCESS!

    But I mean seriously, be wary of any system that adds up somewhat unrelated numbers to come up with a success or ranking prediction. I like Nassib and Manuel probably more than a lot of people, partially due to the statistics I've drawn out, but I would never be so bold to create a "predictor" number. Certain factors can help predict other factors in the NFL. For instance, I found a .76, solidly strong predictor of college accuracy to NFL accuracy in each zone last year. That, however, doesn't mean it's a magic number. That's a likelihood within certain standard deviations. Somehow I don't think Gil Brandt adding 7 weighted numbers together is thinking that all the way through.
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    Please let the Bills and Jets tie themselves to young franchise-but-not-QBs that don't amount to anything.
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    I generally like Mike Mayock's take, and these are his top-5s at every position:

    http://www.nfl.com/draft/story/0ap10...2013-nfl-draft
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    Quote Originally Posted by Twitches Brew View Post
    I generally like Mike Mayock's take, and these are his top-5s at every position:

    http://www.nfl.com/draft/story/0ap10...2013-nfl-draft
    In general me too. But I have several definite disagreements with Mayock too. I'll leave that discussion for another thread though.

    Brandt always has a different take but often is just as accurate, which I like despite often disagreeing. This is no no different. I think he is right to be unusually high on Manuel, because I have him pegged going at the top of the 2nd to the Eagles who will miss out on Smith to KC. Chip Kelly knows he needs one of those two, because Michael "Turnover Machine" Vick isn't going to be the answer.

    But, I think the best QB in this draft is Matt Barkley, with only Geno Smith being in that conversation for me. After those two, Tyler Wilson is the guy in my eyes. The only concern with Wilson is his deep ball. After private workouts I see those concerns being eased. After interviews I see Barkley's name slowly but steadily rising up the boards. When all is said and done, those are the only 4 guys I see who as potentially being successful starters. Glennon isn't accurate, Nassib will be a journeyman, and Landry Jones plays scared like Blaine Gabbert. Teams that want a QB will go get him, regardless of value. I see Geno Smith going #1 overall to KC, and Philadelphia taking E.J. Manuel either early in the 2nd round or trading back up into the late 1st to make sure they get him. It sounds crazy now, but I can definitely see it. When it's all said and done, Barkley and Wilson could go as high as top 10 or drop to the 3rd round. Crazy year.
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    All I know is - If Geno's the best QB this draft has to offer, I'm glad we got ours last year. And this is coming from a rabid WVU fan.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Bumpus View Post
    All I know is - If Geno's the best QB this draft has to offer, I'm glad we got ours last year. And this is coming from a rabid WVU fan.

    Just saying.
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    lol funny how the guys who wanted to blow barkley, I mean.. blow for barkley have dropped off the face of the earth.
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