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Thread: With 1st round draft pick the Miami Dolphins will select a guy in this list...

  1. -1
    MexDolfan's Avatar
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    Draft With 1st round draft pick the Miami Dolphins will select a guy in this list...

    Adam Schefter has announced in his twitter account (@AdamSchefter) a list of players invited to NFL draft: Luke Joeckel, Geno Smith, EJ Manuel, Chance Warmack, Bjoern Werner, Jonathan Cooper, Sharrif Floyd, Lane Johnson, Ezekial Ansah, Kenny Vaccaro, DJ Fluker, Eric Fisher, Menelik Watson, Cordarrelle Patterson, Xavier Rhodes, Tavon Austin, Margus Hunt, Barkevious Mingo, Dee Milliner.

    NFL.com's official list of attendees for upcoming draft event: Ezekiel "Ziggy" Ansah, DE, BYU; Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia; Jonathan Cooper, G, North Carolina; Eric Fisher, T, Central Michigan; Shariff Floyd, DT, Florida; D.J. Fluker, T, Alabama; Luke Joeckel, T, Texas A&M; Lane Johnson, T, Oklahoma; Dion Jordan, DE, Oregon; Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama; E.J. Manuel, QB, Florida St.; Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama; Barkevoius Mingo, CB, LSU; Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee; Eric Reid, S, LSU; Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida St.; Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri; Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia; Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington; Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas; Chance Warmack, G, Alabama; Menelik Watson, T, Florida St.; Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida St.
    With Dolphins requiring to expose new jersey on national TV, there almost certainty Miami will be picking a guy within that list.

    That said this is my analysis on each guy:
    Prospect name Analysis Probability
    Bjoern Werner A defensive piece that makes sense as pass rusher. 9.00%
    Lane Johnson Several draft specialist have mocked him as top 10 pick, so Miami would have to trade up some spots to get him. 8.50%
    Ezekial Ansah His lack of experience could lead him to be available and he's a better option than Werner. 8.00%
    Other Thinking some BPA on the draft board could be out of the refered list, let's say Tyler Eifert or Star Lotulelei. 8.00%
    Xavier Rhodes I think this draft class is deep on DB talent. I gave him some probability because many persons are mocking him as BPA. 7.00%
    Margus Hunt I think this is another fine option for pass rush. 7.00%
    Barkevious Mingo A fine DE/OLB that would fit on our defensive rotation. 7.00%
    Chance Warmack A great value that would fortify our O-line but would no excite fan base. 7.00%
    Desmond Trufant I disagree about taking a DB here, there's gonna be similar players in next rounds. 6.00%
    DJ Fluker He's the 4th top tackle of the class, and could represent a decent way for filling a need. 6.00%
    Jonathan Cooper This could be safety net once Dolphins lost top O-liners. 5.50%
    Kenny Vaccaro A baller, but I don't see him as a true upgrade over our young safeties. 5.00%
    Tavon Austin Great talent, but a slot receiver should be a priority for lower rounds. 4.00%
    Dee Milliner A Utopian option. This is the only DB talent that would justify jumping up into top 6. 3.00%
    Sheldon Richardson Great DT, but he's out of my radar as he doesn't look like a NT to me. 3.00%
    Cordarrelle Patterson He's a sexy pick but with all free agency additions it looks like a wasted pick. 2.00%
    Sharrif Floyd I don't see Miami Dolphins trading up for him and only great fortune would place him available at 12th spot. 2.00%
    Eric Fisher For some analysts he's the best tackle and everybody is projecting him at top 5 spots. Like Joeckel he is a long shot. 1.00%
    Luke Joeckel Would require a huge effort to jump to 1st overall pick. Pretty unlikely. 0.50%
    Menelik Watson This British athlete would be so overdrafted at 12th spot. Only some unknown fact would lead Ireland to pick him. 0.50%
    Eddie Lacy It's clear Ireland and crew will add a RB within 2013 class. It's also clear that won't happen at 12th spot. 0.00%
    EJ Manuel I don't see Dolphins picking a QB on first round. 0.00%
    Geno Smith Like I said, no QB. And this guy is a poor man's version of Ryan Tannehill. NEXT! 0.00%
    Total 100.00%

    I've updated this post adjusting probabilities.
    Last edited by MexDolfan; 04-11-2013 at 06:28 AM.
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    pb1300's Avatar
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    I think that list is subject to change. Schefter said as of right now, that was the list. But, if they were to choose one of those players, I am either trading up for LJ, or drafting Austin. LJ is my #1, but I still would like to see them go after Eifert before Austin.
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    Phins117's Avatar
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    Not a lineman... CB or DE or TE or WR. Lineman will def be 2nd pick.
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    There is no way that the team would limit themselves to those guys. Absolutely no way. Not saying they won't draft any of them, but if they get an amazing offer to trade down get get some crazy high draft picks for next year, they may take it. Having a guy come up and hold up the jersey isn't worth passing up on a better trade/player who isn't there. That is ridiculous.
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    MadDog 88's Avatar
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    Miami is not going to select somebody just to unveil a new jersey. If they pick someone in attendance it's because he is at the top of their board.
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    TealAttack13's Avatar
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    Cam Wake 91Tannehill 172013 Dolphins Logo1972 Dolphins Logo
    If we can trade up, Milliner. If not, Rhodes.
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    uk_dolfan's Avatar
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    Re: With 1st round draft pick the Miami Dolphins will select a guy in this list...

    nah.. the entire list isnt first rounders and that doesnt even include Eifert.
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    Swantoon's Avatar
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    That's 146.5%
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    i am not trading up for anyone .... i stay at 12, and if our targeets are all gone - then try and fall back a few slots to pick up at least 1 other day 2 pick. then maybe parlay our picks into 5 top 64 picks (later RD1 and 4 RD 2 picks) ...
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    ikkonz's Avatar
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    Miami will (hopefully) choose the best player for their team out there, not just pick someone so they can show off the new jersey. There'll be plenty of time to market the new jersey during the preseason and season. Plus, its not like a ton of people are gonna buy the rookie's jersey because it looks cool if we draft a OT or CB or whatever. Most people buy position players' jerseys.
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