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Canelo will hand Mayweather his first loss. I've actually seen a few of his fights here in So Cal. The guy is a buzzsaw in the ring and his power will be felt. He's young and quick enough to keep up with Floyd's speed.
While anything can happen in a fight, Canelo has not faced anyone with even close to the type of skills that Mayweather has. He'll fight hard and lose if all goes the way it should....