[QUOTE=GoonBoss;1064717599]Why couldn't 8-8 be a reasonable prediction?

If you guessed that prior to last year you'd be pretty close.

Past performance is a fairly good indicator of future performance. Not the only one, to be sure, but a reasonable
one to consult with and base an opinion from.[/QUOTE

It is a cop out because if you predict 8-8 for just about any team in the league you will be within 2 games of being correct for a little more than 50 percent of any team in the league ....I'm trying to say that in the age of NFL parity the majority of teams will finish with records from 6-10 to 10-6, so an 8-8 prediction still makes the talking heads sound like they know what they are talking about, even if they don't. For example last year more than half the league finished with a record in that range...i think it was like 17 or 18 of the 32 teams.