I mean, if he waits too much longer we'll know the answer and then they'll be no room for an analysis.
You might be able to "luck" your way to a 10-6 record and the playoffs, losing perhaps to the systematically better teams along the way, but when you're playing only the systematically better teams (i.e., the playoffs), your luck is likely to run out.
The data on the whole year versus the last three games of the year is readily available. As a system wide trend it speaks to me.
The number of teams currently better than last year's top team is what's compelling in this regard, IMO. A quarter of the league is currently doing better than the top team did over the course of the whole year last year. I think you have to wonder if teams in general start the season better in that regard and then tail off.
---------- Post added at 02:36 AM ---------- Previous post was at 02:35 AM ----------
In 2011, the league best red zone % was 66.13%. That year, six teams finished the year with better percentages than that in their last three games. Three of the top four overall teams were represented in that grouping.
This year 8 teams have started the year better than last year's best percentage. What does it mean? It doesn't mean anything adamantine. However, it is suggestive.
The question is why do you think the part of the schedule might be a relevant variable rather than an irrelevant one?
Bottom line is we are going to have to start gaining more yards and or giving up less, or we are going to have to go back to feeling comfortable losing more than we win. I for one love the feeling of being undefeated but I have no doubt that if we continue to gain fewer yards than the teams we play our winning streak will soon be a distant memory.