I agree with most of the rest, except for a point it seems to suggest: that Republicans have a chance in 2016 after they double down on their routine. Granted, trends and what not, but their positions, tactics, and rhetoric have proven to be poisonous. Save for 2010, they havent been able to win much up at this point and public opinion towards them is only going downhill the more they use damaging measures.
No doubt they feel they are losing because they arent conservative enough. But, as i know you are aware, thats simply not whats happening. In fact, the more conservatives talk the more it alludes to my earlier example. Democrats used to make excuses for their election losses- the country is to racist, to greedy, hoodwinked by the charismatic Reagan. Now conservatives feel they are losing because the country is to lazy, expect handouts, have been swooned by Obama.
While that time period isnt a perfect example of whats happening now or what will happen(and i didnt mean to suggest it was a perfect example), there are some similarities, especially the fact that Republicans arent at the point of fixing the things they need to in order to win over the public. And they wont until they get their dicks kicked in again. In that way, the right is 8 years away from its "reckoning".