This is why teams have no problem running their running back into an impenetrable wall of defenders when they're trying to run out the clock. They're willing to exchange "failure" in terms of gaining any yardage for the minimization of risk and the depletion of the clock. This is all pretty simple. We've seen it a million times.
Now, you could argue that the team wasn't yet trying to kill the clock, and I would say that was a mistake on its part at the time. They sure should have been trying to kill the clock IMO, with a 72% chance of winning the game.
I don't play the result. You either trust your QB and allow him to audible or you don't. You either play aggressively or you don't. Tannehill played aggressively against Atlanta in the final drive. If he played aggressively in that last drive against Atlanta and threw a pick, would it have been a bad move? Hell no. I don't like seeing my team playing scared. We've seen way too much of that. Sparano & Wannstache would've run the ball and punted and they got ripped heavily for it. Seems like a lot of posters want to have it both ways.
The only reason I wanted to run in that situation is because we had a positive gain on 1st and had been running well all day for the first time all season.
But i do not normally agree with play it safe run run run, punt lose game. How many times have we seen playing it safe fail for the dolphins?
And to people complaining about ball security, I agree tannehill overall needs to not fumble as much. But in this specific instance, he was hit within a second, no one sees that rusher or holds onto that ball. Clabo's fault plain and simple, no one elses. Can't whiff on a guy 1 yard in front of you.
(On Miami sports teams being popular)
-“That’s not competition,” LeBron said. “That’s like you rooting for your family members. That’s not competition at all. It would be great to have him, but we’ll see.”
However, at the time he fumbled against Buffalo, the probability was quite different, in that the Dolphins were at the time 72% likely to win the game.
In fact, had the Dolphins ran the ball twice, both for zero yards, milked the clock down to the two-minute warning as one would expect (assuming Buffalo didn't use any time-outs), and punted the ball into the end zone, the Dolphins' probability of wining the game would've gone down from 72% to 67%, rather than the 72% to 33% shift that actually happened.
If Miami had punted and pinned Buffalo back on its own 10, the Dolphins' probability of winning would've gone up, to 75%. Either way, Buffalo still would've been fighting uphill, unlike what it had to do in the real game, where it was pretty much handed to them.