my biggest issue with manziels game is i dont' think he reads coverage all that well...i see a lot of one read and take off stuff and a lot of just throw it up there to evans and tell him to go get it despite the coverage being played...you wont get away with that kind of stuff in the pros...
It's absolutely true. The majority of the players in the NFL are borderline professionals. That's why teams are always churning the bottom of their 53 man roster. They're always looking for upgrades. There's players starting all over the place in the NFL that wouldn't start on some college teams. For example, I'd guarantee you the Miami Dolphins haven't had a single player in their secondary the past 5 years that would've started at Alabama over Mark Barron, Robert Lester, Clinton-Dix, Dre Kirkpatrick, Dee Milliner, Kareem Jackson, and Javier Arenas.
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He doesn't leave the pocket for no reason... I assure you there's a reason. Blaine Gabbert left the pocket for no reason... hew threw with his eyes closed from inside the pocket.
Keenum went undrafted and Manziel will be a 1st rounder because there's a clear difference in talent.
There's also a difference between production in C-USA, and production in the SEC. That difference in talent is why one was in C-USA and the other in the SEC to begin with. It's just not a good comparison.
^ ^ Dee Milliner was the consensus no. 1 CB in last years draft and outstanding college corner, how did that help him versus the Fins last year? Benched what was it, three times in the one game? He looked lost in the NFL last year.
The level between college and the NFL is massive - the reason there is churn there at the bottom of rosters is because they are choosing between one freakish athlete and another, and the reason why there are so many busts in the NFL. You can't just be a freakish athlete - you have to have something more that that, either an extra dimension of athletic freakishness or some other game-oriented talent.
I'm not about to compare the man to Case Keenum. I think that's folly. But I don't think he's the NFL prospect Russell Wilson was, either. Perhaps I rated Russell Wilson too low as a prospect (solid mid to high 2nd round). The way Wilson has played he should have been a #1 overall. But I also feel like if another Russell Wilson came out I would probably rate him about the same as I did Russell Wilson himself. And if Johnny Manziel is not the prospect Wilson was then why should he get a higher grade?
Manziel WILL have to give himself up more in some situations...but I'm not sure it will help. First off with his style I'm not sure he'll do it. I'm not sure he's actually capable of it. I don't think he sees the field and sees timing-based reads from inside the pocket very well, and that's going to give him tendencies that put him out there as a raw steak for the lions on the defensive line.
Here's a video which really addresses that point about vision within the pocket for me:
I do think Johnny leaves the pocket for no reason at times. Or rather he holds onto the football for an inordinate amount of time, which in turn forces him to leave the pocket under duress, for no good reason. Evaluating Mike Evans has been difficult at times because Evans seems to have a knack for getting open in his breaks with correct timing and you'd like to see him finish some of those catches and transition to RAC the way an NFL player will need to, but Manziel just doesn't see him or hit him. He waits and waits, gets his guys into scramble drills, climbs up or out of the pocket and searches for wide open windows into which to throw.
Again these are tendencies he'll have to break at the next level and maybe he just gets there and changes. Maybe it'll be easy. As Awsi said maybe the talent will just find a way.
But when you consider his significant off field issues and attitude problems, I don't think so. When the going gets tough (and it *will* get tough, at some point), I don't know that he's going to throw himself body and soul into the effort to move away from the player he was that got him the Heisman and all this acclaim in college. And he's going to have NO SHORTAGE of people whispering in his ear that it's his coaches, not him, that need to change. That he needs to get back to being "Johnny Football" and that his real problem, the REAL reason he's not succeeding in the NFL (even if just temporarily), is because he's not being "himself".
Then he'll go back to the old habits. And he'll get K.I.A.
The Dolphins have players that have been in the league for years that look lost. It's why they're a bad football team.
While Miami is busy choosing between which freak athlete to play at right tackle between Tyson Clabo's and Marc Colombo's... neither would've started at Alabama over D.J. Fluker.
These are the knocks that are legitimate. Again, he doesn't leave the pocket for no reason. There's a reason.
As I said a long time ago. it's because he can't see the Choice/Switch routes develope that make up Sumlin's 4-Verts concept, that are staples of any variation of Run-and-Shoot. That's a reason to leave the pocket.
Secondly, it's to make something happen because he missed the timing based reads from inside the pocket.
Bottom line is he's worth the risk for any team that needs a quarterback. It's a QB league, and if you're not taking risks at the QB position, you're not trying to win. I think anything inside the top 20 is reaching for Manziel, but after that he's worth the gamble.
DJ Fluker was drafted at no 11 overall playing as a college right tackle - if you can name 5 other college players drafted to be right tackles at the next level, who were drafted in the top 15 players overall in any draft in the last 15 years I will be very surprised. He was a home-run prospect and hence drafted as high as he was for his position. Comparing any RT to Fluker isn't that good because a RT drafted in the top 15 of the draft (even a weak one like last year) just doesn't come around that often.